Sunday, 24 August 2014

Weekly Nifty For 25th-28th August 2014

    The market had been range bound most of the week , but in the process of making new life time highs albeat of low magnitude. The closed close to the 8000 levels and gave highest weekly close as well. The broder market was seen ralling this week, with the mid-cap index rising by almost 4%. Any deep in the market should be bought into. The bank nifty led the rally with good participation from the PSUs. The declining oil prices in the global market is likely to boost the Oil Marketing Companys.

    Nifty opened the week at 7785, made a high of 7929, low of 7779 and closed the week at 7913. Thus the Nifty closed the week with a gain of 122 points. After a strong move on Monday, the market has consolidated for rest of the week. On the weekly charts, Nifty has made an Opening White body Marubuzo. Thus the weekly pattern indicates the continuation of bullishness in the near term.

    In March this year the market had given a very strong bullish breakout for multiple patterns on multiple timeframes. One of the formations was a Bullish Rounding Bottom on the weekly charts which has a target of 8145. A Flag pattern will get completed once Nifty closes above 7922. The target for this pattern will at 8304.
   
    Nifty has completed a Bullish Island Reversal and thereby generating a Buy signal. The signal will stand negated if Nifty closes below 7540. The market is constantly making higher top higher bottom formations and the short term trend is likely to reverse if the Nifty closes below 7540. A breach of this support is likely to test the Support zone between 7441-7394 which is due to a confluence of the 61.8% correction level with intermittent bottoms at 7441 & 7422. On a higher scale, a very strong Support zone is formed between 7112-7067. This is a result of confluence of 38.2% Retracement of the higher rally (7112), 61.8% Retracement of the immediate rally (7097) and the start of the intermediate Bullish Rising Gap (7067). The long term trend will continue to remain bullish as long as this Support zone is held.

    This week, Nifty has managed to remain above the short term average of 20dma (7757) as well as the medium term average of 50dma (7667). Both the indices continue to remain well above the long term average of 200dma (6785). Thus the trend in the short term, medium term and long term continues to remain bullish.

    RSI @62 indicates bullish momentum for the market. MACD and Price ROC are both positive and continue with their buy signal. ADX at 26 indicates the uptrend showing strength. Directional Indicators continue in Buy mode as +DI is above –DI. OBV has gone above the previous top and thereby signaling a fresh Buy. MFI @72 suggests positive money flow in the market. Thus Oscillators are suggesting a bullish bias for the market.

    The Options data suggest highest Call writing at the strike of 8000 and highest Put writing at the strike of 7700. This suggests a trading range for the market with support coming in at 7700 and resistance at 8000. Friday saw strong Put writing at 7900 strike which indicates immediate support at 7900.

Stock of the week:
PNB

The stock has been moving in a downward sloping channel since hitting the high of 1068. The stock gave a false break out and bounced sharply. It now has given breakout on the upside with good volumes. The stock can be bought with the stop loss of 966 for the target of 1014-1031-1060 

Wednesday, 20 August 2014

Nifty Daily For 21st August 2014



                   Nifty opened with a gap up of 18 points at 7915 and made a high of 7922.70. The market made new life time high but failed to cross the 7920 level decisively. The market is likely to retrace down till 7840 before moving up. According to option data the 7800 levels will act as strong support and 7900 is strong resistance. On hourly time frame the index has broken down from the rising channel move of the past 6 days. This pattern target lies at 7790 near the 7800 support.
                    The support for nifty is at 7835-7800-7771 and the resistance lies at 7887-7920-7951. Nifty August Future has been trading at 14-15 points premium to the spot. The implied volatility on the Nifty August Options of ATM strike calls were at 11.33 and for puts were at 11.65. India VIX closed at 13.66. PCR for Nifty based on open interest was at 1.13 and PCR for the day based on volumes was at 1.04 for the market.

CASH MARKET:
FII                   3505.89  -   3254.53  =   251.36Cr.
DII                  1437.22  -   1918.59   =   -481.37Cr.

FII DERIVATIVES MARKET

In Cr. Buy Sell Net
INDEX FUTURES 1339.62 1062.90 276.73
INDEX OPTIONS 9069.92 9113.45 -43.52
STOCK FUTURES 2320.22 2140.03 180.19
STOCK OPTIONS 2115.52 2094.73 20.79


CORPORATE ACTION:

Company Purpose Ex-Date Record Date
PNB Gilts Limited Annual General Meeting / Final Dividend - Re 0.90/- Per Share 21-Aug-14 -
Tide Water Oil Company (India) Limited Annual General Meeting / Dividend - Rs 200/- Per Share (Bc Dates-Revised) 21-Aug-14 -
Jubilant Foodworks Limited Annual General Meeting 21-Aug-14 -
The Indian Hotels Company Limited Annual General Meeting 21-Aug-14 -
Dishman Pharmaceuticals and Chemicals Limited Annual General Meeting / Final Dividend - Rs 1.20/- Per Share 21-Aug-14 -
Bharat Forge Limited Annual General Meeting / Final Dividend - Rs 2.50/- Per Share (Bc End Date Revised) 21-Aug-14 -
Exide Industries Limited Interim Dividend - Rs.1.50/- Per Share 21-Aug-14 22-Aug-14
Jubilant Life Sciences Limited Annual General Meeting / Dividend - Rs 3/- Per Share 21-Aug-14 -
PVR Limited E-Voting 21-Aug-14 22-Aug-14
Bharti Airtel Limited Annual General Meeting / Final Dividend - Rs 1.80/- Per Share / Interim Dividend - Rs 1.63/- Per Share (Purpose Revised) 21-Aug-14 -
Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers and Chemicals Limited Dividend Rs.3.50/- Per Share 21-Aug-14 -
Nectar Lifesciences Limited Annual General Meeting / Final Dividend - Re 0.10/- Per Share 21-Aug-14 -
Jamna Auto Industries Limited Annual General Meeting / Final Dividend - Re 1/- Per Share 21-Aug-14 -
Ashiana Housing Limited Annual General Meeting/Dividend Re.0.50/- Per Share 21-Aug-14 -
Industrial Investment Trust Limited Annual General Meeting / Dividend - Rs 1.75/- Per Share 21-Aug-14 -
Oberoi Realty Limited Annual General Meeting / Dividend - Rs 2/- Per Share 21-Aug-14 -
Jubilant Industries Limited Annual General Meeting 21-Aug-14 -
Harrisons  Malayalam Limited Annual General Meeting / Dividend - Re 1/- Per Share 21-Aug-14 -
MOIL Limited Annual General Meeting/Dividend Rs 3.50/- Per Share 21-Aug-14 -
Eurotex Industries and Exports Limited Annual General Meeting / Dividend - Re 0.50/- Per Share 21-Aug-14 -
Stel Holdings Limited Annual General Meeting 21-Aug-14 -
Archies Limited Annual General Meeting / Final Dividend - Re 0.40/- Per Share 21-Aug-14 -
Super Sales India Limited Annual General Meeting / Dividend - Rs 2.50/- Per Share (25%) 21-Aug-14 -
Axis-IT&T Limited Annual General Meeting 21-Aug-14 -


STOCKS IN NEWS:**

Reliance Industries Ltd: The Oil Ministry is considering ordering Reliance Industries to stop selling KG-D6 crude oil to its Jamnagar refinery and instead sell it to Chennai Petroleum Corp Ltd (CPCL) at lower rates.

Hindustan Zinc Ltd: Responding to the Prime Minister Narendra Modi's call to corporates to build separate toilets for women, Vedanta Group company Hindustan Zinc announced that it will construct another set of 10,000 toilets in Rajasthan.

SAIL & Tata Steel Ltd: Less than three weeks after acquiring a large coal property in Mozambique, Steel Authority of India Ltd is looking for more. Together with Tata Steel Ltd, the state-run company is scouting for fresh acquisition of overseas coal assets to ensure continuous supply of coking coal, a key raw material in steel production.

Tata Motors Ltd: Tata Motors plans to launch two vehicles every year till 2020 as the company looks to ramp up its product portfolio in the competitive Indian car market.

ONGC: As many as 14 merchant bankers, including Citigroup Global, Barclays Plc and Morgan Stanley, have made a beeline for managing the 5 per cent stake sale of ONGC, which could fetch over Rs 17,000 crore to the exchequer.

DLF Ltd: Realty major DLF plans to reduce its debt to Rs 12,000-14,000 crore by FY17 through asset monetisation and increasing cash-flows from sales.

TVS Motor Company Ltd: Two and three-wheeler manufacturer TVS Motor Company today launched upgraded variant of its popular scooterette, the Scooty Zest, expanding its portfolio in the segment.

GCPL: FMGC major Godrej Consumer Products Ltd (GCPL) is looking at a double digit growth this fiscal on the back of uptake in urban demand amid positive sentiments in the market.

Deepak Fertilizers: Competition Commission has approved Deepak Fertilizers' proposed additional stake buy in Vijay Mallya group firm Mangalore Chemicals and Fertilizers.

Venus Remedies: Pharma major Venus Remedies has secured its first marketing authorisation in Switzerland from Swiss drug authority 'Swissmedic' for its oncology drug 'Gemcitabine'.

Dr Reddy's Laboratories Ltd: Drugmaker Dr Reddy's Laboratories has come under the scanner of Department of Justice of USA for alleged violations of some provisions of Consumer Product Safety Act involving child resistant packaging regulations.

ZEE Entertainment & United Spirits: Zee Entertainment will soon be a part of the 50-share benchmark Nifty index after replacing United Spirits, which was first included in the index earlier this year in March.

Jindal SAW Ltd: Jindal Saw announced that Jindal Tubular USA LLC, an entity incorporated in the US and step down subsidiary of the Company (it is wholly owned by S V Trading, Navis which in turn is a wholly owned subsidiary of the Company), had entered into an asset purchase agreement on 16 June 2014 with PSL-North America LLC for the acquisition of identified assets and liabilities of PSL-North America LLC. 


STOCKS IN BAN PERIOD:
UNITECH
Source:**economictimes.com , nseindia.com

STOCK OF THE DAY:
Zee Entertainment
The stock has been moving in a steady up move for past three days, and is likely to continue its move towards the 295 levels. Buy the stock with 287 as stop loss for the target of 290-293-295.40.

Tuesday, 19 August 2014

Nifty Daily For 20th August 2014



                   Nifty opened with a gap up of 27 points at 7901 and made a high of 7918. As per my expectations the market stayed in the below the resistance of 7920. After the spectacular run the market is taking a breather. On the daily charts the market has formed a doji, which is clear sign of indecision. The market will trade in range as long as 7950 is not taken out. It can crawl slowly towards the 7950 levels, before correcting from the new highs. 
                    The support for nifty is at 7880-7820-7780 and the resistance lies at 7951-7980-8015. Nifty August Future has been trading at 12-13 points premium to the spot. The implied volatility on the Nifty August Options of ATM strike calls were at 10.64 and for puts were at 12.67. India VIX closed at 13.905. PCR for Nifty based on open interest was at 1.07 and PCR for the day based on volumes was at 1.00 for the market.

CASH MARKET:
FII                   4329.53  -   3770.14  =   559.39Cr.
DII                  1683.07  -   1946.44  =   -263.37Cr.

FII DERIVATIVES MARKET

In Cr. Buy Sell Net
INDEX FUTURES 2043.96 1592.60 451.36
INDEX OPTIONS 16211.75 13359.02 2852.73
STOCK FUTURES 3125.32 2290.95 834.37
STOCK OPTIONS 2519.62 2535.92 -16.30


CORPORATE ACTION:

Company Purpose Ex-Date Record Date
Intrasoft Technologies Limited Annual General Meeting / Dividend - Re 1/- Per Share 20-Aug-14 -
Grasim Industries Limited Dividend - Rs 21/- Per Share 20-Aug-14 -
Electrosteel Castings Limited Annual General Meeting / Dividend - Re 0.65/- Per Share 20-Aug-14 -
BEML Limited Annual General Meeting / Dividend - Re 1/- Per Share 20-Aug-14 -
Sakuma Exports Limited Annual General Meeting / Dividend - Re 1/- Per Share 20-Aug-14 -
Lovable Lingerie Limited Interim Dividend - Rs 12.5/- Per Share (Purpose Revised) 20-Aug-14 21-Aug-14
Pilani Investment and Industries Corporation Limited Annual General Meeting / Final Dividend - Rs 25/- Per Share 20-Aug-14 -


STOCKS IN NEWS:**

Bharti Airtel Ltd: Telecom major Bharti Airtel is in advanced stage talks with American Tower Corporation (ATC) and Eaton Towers for selling its tower assets in several African countries, including Nigeria, Ghana and Uganda, sources aware of the development said.

Arvind Ltd: Arvind Ltd today announced its foray into e-commerce with custom clothing brand 'Creyate' and said it aims to reach Rs 1,000 crore revenue from e-commerce in three years.

HDFC Bank Ltd: The controversial proposal of HDFC Bank to hike foreign holding may be taken up by the Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB) in the next meeting following clarifications submitted by the bank.

Eros International Media & ZEE Entertainment Ltd: Eros International Media said that its on-demand entertainment portal has acquired the worldwide rights of 10 shows from Zee TV. With this, content from Zee will be available to ErosNow members without them having to pay any extra subscription costs.

GAIL India Ltd: In a setback to Oil Ministry, gas utility GAIL and refiner CPCL have expressed their inability to deduct $115 million from the amount due to Reliance Industries to make up for the additional profit petroleum from the flagging KG-D6 block.

Just Dial Ltd: The Board of Directors of the Company at its meeting held have decided to seek approval of shareholders for increasing the limit on aggregate shareholding of Foreign Institutional Investors/Foreign Portfolio Investors in the Company from existing 49% to 75% of the paid-up equity share capital of the Company.

Ashok Leyland Ltd: Commercial vehicle maker Ashok Leyland, the flagship company of the Hinduja Group, has raised Rs.210 crore from sale of one of its residential properties at Chennai.

Karur Vysya Bank Ltd: The bank said it launched a share sale on Tuesday to raise up to Rs 10 billion ($165 million) from institutional investors. The floor price for the sale is Rs 461.70, the lender said in a regulatory filing.

Wipro Ltd: The IT major is betting on two of its largest verticals serving the financial services and oil and gas sectors as India's third largest software exporter scouts for opportunities in Canada to offset lackluster performance in the US.

NTPC: The government plans to create public sector energy giants with a massive restructuring exercise that will amalgamate all state-run hydropower firms and transfer their thermal projects to NTPC to create strong companies that can take on the rapidly growing private conglomerates.

Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd: Ranbaxy Laboratories' global HR head Sandeep Girotra has stepped down while its president of global pharma business, Rajiv Gulati, plans to leave soon, continuing the shake-up in senior management at the drugmaker that began a few months ago. 


STOCKS IN BAN PERIOD:

UNITECH


Source:**economictimes.com , nseindia.com

STOCK OF THE DAY:
Hindalco
The Stock has retraced its bullish engulfing on the daily charts and is likely to move up from these levels. Buy this stock for the target of 184.55-186.80-191 with the stop loss of 179.50.